Will there be a notable book-burning event on a US college campus before 2030?
One-OffSamenleving en cultuurAmerikaanse politiekMisdaad en justitie3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.4%
Voorspellers
46
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd13 dec 22, 20:48 UTC1 jan 30, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will another assassination of a public figure happen on a college campus before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any notable lost art be recovered by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?
Manifold MarketsWill the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?
KalshiWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItRegels
Must be intentional.
- An accidental library fire doesn't count.
- A single person burning a few of their own books doesn't count.
- Must involve several people and a large number of books, somewhere public or semi-public.
- Only events after market creation.
