Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 04:28 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 69.2%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd30 okt 24, 14:15 UTC31 dec 50, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will more than 50% of US population be convinced that free will is an illusion before year 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill 0.1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the US population be >500M by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill 1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 38,000 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 37,500 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExRegels
Resolves according to US census data.
- If the census ceases to publish data, the best available estimate will be used.
- Resolves NA if the US ceases to exist.
