Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 69.2%
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14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd30 okt 24, 14:15 UTC31 dec 50, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US population be >500M by 2050?
Manifold MarketsBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
Manifold MarketsWill the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
KalshiCanada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves according to US census data.
- If the census ceases to publish data, the best available estimate will be used.
- Resolves NA if the US ceases to exist.
Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8K
- 24u volume
- € 5,8K
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 18,1K
- 24u volume
- € 989,4
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4K
- 24u volume
- € 952,4
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 136,2K
- 24u volume
- € 247
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 69% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves according to US census data.