Will more than 50% of US population be convinced that free will is an illusion before year 2050?
One-OffSamenleving en cultuurManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 05:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd24 apr 23, 07:14 UTC31 dec 50, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
I will resolve this to positive if at any time before the end of 2050 a survey of US citizens, with a sample size that is descriptive of the whole population, will say that more than 50% of the population, agrees with the sentence "Free Will is an illusion"