Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?
One-OffAITechMacro & Economy2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.3%
Voorspellers
46
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd19 jul 23, 13:22 UTC29 jun 29, 22:01 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US halve its emissions by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill AMD become a Trillion Dollar Company before 2030? 🎢💻🤑🚀⚡
Manifold MarketsWill AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next CEO of X?
KalshiWho will acquire Pinterest this year?
KalshiRegels
https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes533032.htm Currently, there are about two million truck drivers employed in the US.
- However, self-driving trucks could automate a significant fraction of this sector.
- Will this happen before January 2029? (Will resolve based on BLS or similar source.
- May resolve up to six months later in case there are no reliable sources and its not already clear.)
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? wordt naar verwachting op 29 juni 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes533032.htm Currently, there are about two million truck drivers employed in the US.