Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffAITechEquities3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83.1%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd3 aug 26, 14:41 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on any regular trading day from August 4, 2026, through December 31, 2026 (inclusive), the official daily closing price of the Nasdaq Composite Index is at least 15.00% lower than its closing price on August 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Baseline Close ($C_{Aug3}$): The official closing price of the Nasdaq Composite on August 3, 2026.
- Target Price ($T$): $C_{Aug3} \times 0.85$ (rounded to two decimal places).
- Trigger: If the index's closing price on any subsequent trading day within the specified timeframe is less than or equal to $T$.
Open markten
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.88% or above99%
- 4.91% or above99%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,1K
- 24u volume
- € 25K
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.34% or above99%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,1K
- 24u volume
- € 14,7K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 4.35% or above+21.0pt99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,2K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.91%+64.0pt94%
- 4.94%+70.0pt93%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.69% or above99%
- 4.65% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8,5K
- 24u volume
- € 8,5K
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 83% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) afgewikkeld?
- Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria