Will the ICC or similar tribunal find Russians guilty of war crimes re the Nova Kakhovka dam failure?
GeopolitiekOne-OffRusland / Oekraïne3j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 61.9%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 22 uur geleden
Verouderd6 jun 23, 13:22 UTC1 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
For this question to resolve YES, these Russians would need to have been acting under orders (or with tacit approval from superiors) of some official or quasi official army, militia, or other government agency of Russia, as opposed to an unauthorized independent act of terrorism or corruption by Russian Nationals.
- However I will presumptively assume that they were acting under orders unless there is clear evidence or statement by the tribunal to the contrary.
- I will plan to resolve this by 2030 at the latest if there is no movement on such a case.
- But I will probably extend the resolution if there is a case in progress.
- See also these markets: @/YaakovSaxon/did-the-russians-yes-or-the-ukraini @/YaakovSaxon/did-the-russians-deliberately-blow @/YaakovSaxon/did-the-russians-intend-to-destroy
