Will the Houthis attack Saudi Arabia again before September 15, 2026?
GeopolitiekOne-OffPolitiekMiddle EastManifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
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Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling🟡 Limited attack — A minor attack occurs without major damage. 38.5%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+28.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 dagen geleden
Verouderd13 sep 26, 12:31 UTC14 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
38.5%
21.2%
18.8%
6.8%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
1.1%
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This is a dependent multiple-choice market.
- Only one option will resolve to YES, and all other options will resolve to NO.
- This market resolves based on events occurring between the creation of this market and September 15, 2026, at 12:00 AM (00:00) UTC.
- The options will resolve as follows:
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if a documented Houthi attack (missile, drone, or ground raid) strikes Saudi Arabian territory and causes significant, verified damage to critical installations, such as oil refineries, pipelines, airports, or military bases.