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Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will China win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?
Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)
Who will win the clash of civilizations.
Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
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