Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63.2%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd23 apr 24, 18:06 UTC3 jan 60, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
Manifold MarketsWill peak plastic production occur within a year of peak oil?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves as YES if the emergence of AGI and the invasion of Taiwan occur within 1 calendar year (12 months) of each other.
