Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 71.2%
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd2 feb 24, 05:44 UTC2 jan 50, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Resolves positive if the long-run [20 year] global mean temperature average raises more than 2.5°C vs. the 1850-1900 average before 2050
- Resolves negative otherwise
- https://web.archive.org/web/20220518083042/https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=11178
- If the temperature reaches the threshold, then falls back below that level the contract still resolves positive.
- The temperature must heat more than the threshold in the title for the contract to resolve positive, to whatever precision measured.
- So, if a reputable source gives the midpoint temperature increase as 2.51°C, the contrast will resolve positive, but not if the source lists 2.50°C. If the source uses a confidence interval, the contract will resolve based on the reported midpoint.
Open markten
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,9 mln.
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,5 mln.
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,6 mln.
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,6 mln.
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves positive if the long-run [20 year] global mean temperature average raises more than 2.5°C vs. the 1850-1900 average before 2050