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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. ETF
  3. Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
Manifold Markets

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

ETFAI1j
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
By 12-31-2025 0%
Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

72

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 dagen geleden

Verouderd
26 okt 25, 11:3831 dec 27, 10:29

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

By 6-30-20263%

Regels

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

Manifold Markets
  • For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
  • More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
  • A market will resolve to Yes if
  • (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
  • is satisfied by the stated date.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,748.94+1.97%EthereumETH$1,654.07+1.26%SolanaSOL$65.07+1.17%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.10%BNBBNB$596.08+1.54%XRPXRP$1.11+0.04%

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Regels

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

Manifold Markets
  • For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
  • More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
  • A market will resolve to Yes if
  • (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
  • is satisfied by the stated date.