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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 21 uur geleden
Verouderd26 okt 25, 11:3831 dec 27, 10:29
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
By 9-30-20265%
Platforms vergelijken· By 3-31-2028
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen72% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 16% | — | € 6,2 | € 14,8K | 4 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 47% | — | — | — | 21 uur geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
AI bubble burst by which date?
5mnd
16%
-0.1%0%
+0.1%0%
60 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitGematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 2,6 mln.
24u volume€ 6,2
POLYMARKETRegels
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$709 jul4d aan data25 jul
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Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.