Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
By 12-31-2028 50.3%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
78
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd26 okt 25, 11:38 UTC31 dec 27, 10:29 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble burst by which date?
FutuurWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadRegels
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — AI bubble burst by...? · June 30, 2027 23%
