Will the 2026 Time Person of the Year be a single person?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskundeRusland / Oekraïne1mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 52.9%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
9 nov 26, 22:39 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
PolymarketWill there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTime's Person of the Year for 2026 (mirror)
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if TIME magazine names exactly one individual human being as the 2026 "Person of the Year" upon its official announcement.
- This market resolves to NO if TIME chooses any of the following for the 2026 title:
- Multiple named individuals jointly (e.g., 2020's Joe Biden and Kamala Harris).
- A group or collective archetype (e.g., 2017's "The Silence Breakers", 2014's "The Ebola Fighters", 2011's "The Protester").
- An object, technology, or abstract concept (e.g., 1982's "The Computer", 2006's "You").