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Nee 93.2%
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd12 feb 24, 20:03 UTC2 jan 27, 05:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be a single-person funded, owned and operated unicorn before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegels
Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2026, which only has one meaningful human employee.
- If it has human contractors doing a total of more than 40 hours per week, it doesn't count.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 961,1K
- 24u volume
- € 741,9K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 701,3K
- 24u volume
- € 685,8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 907,2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2026, which only has one meaningful human employee.