Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.7%
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Bijgewerkt 27 minuten geleden
16 okt 23, 23:29 UTC2 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Mars by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich milestone occurs first: AGI deployment, Starship Mars landing, or ice-free Arctic summer?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegels
Question will resolve Yes if a landing occurs if a Starship rocket operated by SpaceX lands on Mars before January 1st 2030.
- Landing will count as a success if the rocket does not explode on impact, and the majority of the payload is in tact.
