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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
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  3. Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

RegelgevingAITech6mnd
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026 0.2%
Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

17

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 dagen geleden

Verouderd
19 feb 26, 21:3031 dec 26, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation under $500B
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation $500B–$1T
0.2%

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes — valuation $1T–$1.5T4%

Regels

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."

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Regels

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."