Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.6%
Voorspellers
29
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd26 feb 24, 18:54 UTC1 jan 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsAny American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny leading Chinese AI lab (e.g. Deepseek, Moonshot, Zhipu) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Market inspired by various tweets calling for this to happen.
- Curious what odds Manifold puts on it (presumably low).
- I assume it will be relatively obvious if this happens or not, will defer to opinion of traders in case of high ambiguity.
