Will South Korea start building a nuclear-powered submarine before 2030?
RegelgevingOne-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiek3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 56.9%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd30 okt 25, 03:11 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if South Korea begins construction on a nuclear-powered submarine before January 1, 2030. "Construction" is defined as the commencement of physical building work (steel-cutting ceremony or equivalent) on the submarine hull.
- Whether the submarine is constructed in South Korea or not is not germane, as long as the submarine is intended for Korean service.
- Whether the submarine is a Korean design or not is not germane, as long as the submarine is intended for Korean service.
- If a submarine already under construction or already completed is diverted to South Korea, this will not resolve YES.
- The market resolves NO if no such construction begins by the deadline.
