Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes (95.7%)
Afgewikkeld: 6 aug 2026, 16:50
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 95.7%
Voorspellers
144
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 dagen geleden
Verouderd2 aug 26, 21:406 aug 26, 16:50
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes95.7%
No4.299999999999997%
95.7%
4.3%
Regels
Something happens is defined as anything that:
- Zvi does not know about on August 2, 2026 at 5pm EST (he knows about the math proofs, which will be Monday's post)
- Obligates (not merely allows) a speed premium post to Don't Worry About the Vase
- Is about AI.
- The speed premium post can happen after Friday, but the central events that trigger it must occur by Friday 5pm eastern.
- Resolves YES if this happens.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 158,8K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 168,8K
- 24u volume
- € 155,2K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,9 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 96% per 8 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)? afgewikkeld?
- Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)? wordt naar verwachting op 6 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Something happens is defined as anything that: