Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 56.9%
Voorspellers
1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 26, 14:23 UTC31 okt 26, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
