Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 57.1%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
8 apr 26, 14:23 UTC31 okt 26, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
