Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 78%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd17 feb 26, 02:51 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill CFTC regulate cryptocurrency spot markets by the end of 2026?
FutuurClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
See my tweet: https://x.com/realTomBayes/status/2023570876164120992
- Resolves when they are either accepted or rejected as an applicant.
- No time limit
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 90,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,8 mln.
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 877K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
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- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 78% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? afgewikkeld?
- Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: See my tweet: https://x.com/realTomBayes/status/2023570876164120992