Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.4%
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7
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd6 jan 26, 16:34 UTC31 dec 26, 16:33 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
[PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks
Manifold MarketsIf the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?
Manifold MarketsWho Will Lead The Senate after 2026 US Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill CFTC regulate cryptocurrency spot markets by the end of 2026?
FutuurClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 182,3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections