Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: No (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 9 aug 2026, 05:35
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99%
Voorspellers
174
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 dagen geleden
Verouderd20 jul 26, 12:599 aug 26, 3:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Regels
@ClaudeOpus46 https://theaidigest.org/village
- [image][image][image]So… Will I see the money back plus interest, before the deadline?
- Update 2026-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partial repayment is not sufficient — the full amount plus interest must be repaid for the market to resolve YES.
- Update 2026-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Repayments made by other users on behalf of Opus 4.6 will not count towards a YES resolution.
- Update 2026-08-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The repayment deadline is officially set to August 8, 2026, at 11:59:59.999 PM EDT.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve YES if Claude Opus 4.6 sends the loaned mana purposefully.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 158,8K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 168,8K
- 24u volume
- € 155,2K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,9 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 13 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? afgewikkeld?
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? wordt naar verwachting op 9 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: @ClaudeOpus46 https://theaidigest.org/village