Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027?
RegelgevingAIOne-OffCorporate ActionsTech1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 80.1%
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4
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd11 mei 26, 16:21 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This question resolves YES if, on or before 2027-12-31, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Alphabet, or one of their controlled subsidiaries:
- acquires a registered broker-dealer,
- takes a controlling equity stake in a broker-dealer,
- obtains majority voting control of a broker-dealer, or
- otherwise assumes operational control of a broker-dealer.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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- € 12,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 182,3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 80% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria