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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd21 feb 24, 16:21 UTC2 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026?
Manifold MarketsOut of these AI researchers, who is the smartest?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Refer to the winners of @/singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a
- This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2028.
- Here are the names:
- Ilya Sutskever
- Andrej Karpathy
- Yoshua Bengio
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 241,3K
- 24u volume
- € 128K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 349,4K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Refer to the winners of @/singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a