Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67.8%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd16 apr 26, 12:05 UTC31 dec 27, 12:48 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
By legal consequences I mean: 1) Having the cops called on him and landing himself in jail overnight, even if the case later gets dropped 2) Getting sued in a strong enough case that it would survive to trial (doesn't get tossed in a motion to dismiss or summary judgement), or forces a significant cash settlement (settlement values may not be public, I'll use my best judgement)
- Unrelated legal troubles (DUIs, or him being caught doing drugs, or being sued for SAing someone in a frat party) will not be considered.
- I will not bet on this market.
Open markten
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,6K
- 24u volume
- € 12,4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 498,6K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 68% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? afgewikkeld?
- Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: By legal consequences I mean: 1) Having the cops called on him and landing himself in jail overnight, even if the case later gets dropped 2) Getting sued in a strong enough case that it would survive to trial (doesn't get tossed in a motion to dismiss or summary judgement), or forces a significant cash settlement (settlement values may not be public, I'll use my best judgement)