Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 56%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd19 feb 26, 22:46 UTC31 mrt 29, 04:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market estimates McArthur River's 2028 production (100% basis).
- The market settles on March 31, 2029 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate McArthur River's production (100% basis) for 2028 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2028 through December 31, 2028
- YES if: 2028 production (100% basis) ≥20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
- NO if: 2028 production (100% basis) <20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 56% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? afgewikkeld?
- Will McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? wordt naar verwachting op 31 maart 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market estimates McArthur River's 2028 production (100% basis).