Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 15:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingGets nothing 89.4%
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd17 jan 26, 19:28 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
On January 15, 2026, Maria Machando gave her Nobel prize to Donald Trump.
- Will Trump give her absolutely nothing in exchange?
- What counts as "something": An endorsement from Trump, political/military/media action intended to advance Machado's political career, any political favor done at her request, any gift valued over $50,000.
- Endorsements must make mention of her political career.
- Merely stating "She's a lovely woman, she recognized I deserve the peace prize" does NOT count.
- Saying "She won the popular vote" or "they rigged the election against her like they did to me" would count.
