Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.1%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd21 okt 25, 02:39 UTC31 dec 32, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
Manifold MarketsIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsWill Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?
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KalshiGolden Globe Winner: Best Supporting Actress on TV
KalshiRegels
Chad Jones is an economist whose work has centered on growth theory.
- This market resolves YES if Jones wins the Nobel Prize in Economics before the year 2033 (so, one of 2026-2032).
- [link preview]
