Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.6%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd16 jun 26, 12:26 UTC1 jan 42, 11:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
Manifold MarketsRobin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegels
This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.
- This question resolves NO if Robin Hanson dies (and remains dead) before he is awarded that prize.
Open markten
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 125,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,4K
- 24u volume
- € 17,4K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 88% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? afgewikkeld?
- Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2042 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.