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Not by 2030 60%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd5 jan 25, 08:35 UTC1 jan 31, 12:59 UTC
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What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
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KalshiRegels
Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- He was among the favorites for the 2024 prize and continues to be considered a strong candidate for future awards.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the year in which Mircea Cărtărescu wins the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- If he wins the prize in any year from 2025 through 2030, the corresponding year option will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
- If he does not win the prize by the end of 2030, "the named outcome" will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
Open markten
Awards
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- Manifold Markets prijst Not by 2030 op 60% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? afgewikkeld?
- When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.