Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 97.7%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd6 dec 24, 23:57 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold Markets💰If the first $10 Trillion dollar company is NOT Apple or Microsoft, which company will it be?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegels
If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 87,4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 228,5K
- 24u volume
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 239,3K
- 24u volume
- € 53,3K
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.