Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
2080 98.9%Koploper van 17 uitkomsten
2080 98.9%Voorspellers
77
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd29 jul 24, 21:16 UTC1 jan 01, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOnce level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsWill level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegels
At the beginning of each year level 5 self driving is not available the previous year will resolve to NO.
- If level 5 self driving is available year 2028.
- Year 2028 and all years after will resolve to YES.
- Level 5 self driving.
- Needs to be available in US and Europe for normal consumers.
- Should not cost much more than a normal expensive car.