Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63.1%
Voorspellers
1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd31 mrt 26, 16:21 UTC31 dec 28, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2029?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketIsraeli forces enter Beirut by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.
- YES if by December 31, 2028:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 581,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 96,8K
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 63% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.