Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.3%
Voorspellers
34
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd15 sep 23, 13:18 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will we discover alien life before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?
Manifold MarketsBy 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegels
Biosignitures indictive of life have recently been detected on the water-world exoplanet K2-18b.
- By the end of 2026, will the general scientific consensus be that this planet does indeed harbor alien life?
- https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iC95VzD7ALs