Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 2026Amerikaanse politiekVerkiezing13d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 66.9%
Voorspellers
84
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd19 jan 26, 22:53 UTC10 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsTrump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsNational Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketRegels
For whatever reason (ie, "stop the illegals from voting!"), will ICE be deployed in a meaningful fashion to or around polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
- "ICE" is being used as shorthand for all forms of immigration enforcement, including: DHS and its derivative organizations (such as CBP), or the National Guard when deployed for the purposes of immigration enforcement.
- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if ICE is deployed in a meaningful fashion to or around polling stations on or immediately before Election Day. "Meaningful" means visible, coordinated presence that could reasonably be characterized as enforcement operations targeting polling locations—not incidental encounters or routine operations unrelated to voting sites.
- Resolution will be determined by credible reporting from major news outlets, election monitoring organizations, or official statements from election officials, DHS, or ICE confirming deployment.
