National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingUS PoliticsGeopolitiek2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63.5%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd10 sep 25, 05:20 UTC10 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
KalshiWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketJapanese parliament dissolved in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, between the start of in‑person early voting and the close of polls on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, any U.S. state or territory officially deploys National Guard personnel to be physically present at one or more polling places where voters cast ballots (including early‑vote centers) to assist or provide security (e.g., setup, crowd/traffic control, administrative help, visible security), whether in uniform or civilian clothes.
- Acceptable proof: an official announcement from a state National Guard/governor/secretary of state, a National Guard Bureau news post, or two independent reputable news reports citing officials.
- Examples of acceptable source hubs for verification: National Guard Bureau newsroom, state Guard newsrooms, and state election officials’ sites.
- (nationalguard.mil)
- Resolves NO if no such physical deployment at polling places is documented.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 64% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? afgewikkeld?
- National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? wordt naar verwachting op 10 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria