Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 82.6%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd11 feb 26, 01:47 UTC1 jun 28, 00:39 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will I drop out of my PhD program?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will I finish my PhD?
Manifold MarketsWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiIf I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiRegels
I’m currently a PhD student in philosophy at Harvard, in my second-to-third-last year.
- This means I’ll be on the job market next year or the next, trying to become a professor.
- Market resolved YES provided that I get a job offer for a tenure-track position by the end of the job market season in 2028.
- The resolution date is in May of 2028, but I will keep the market open if for some reason things are unclear by that point.
- The market will resolve YES even if I do not accept the offer.
- A postdoc will not be sufficient for YES.
Open markten
Society & CultureKALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 18K
- 24u volume
- € 5,9K
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Totaal volume
- € 799,2
- 24u volume
- € 799,2
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 50,5K
- 24u volume
- € 558,3
POLYMARKETIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Yes+9.0pt58.4%
- No-9.0pt41.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 7,1K
- 24u volume
- € 542,3
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 20K
- 24u volume
- € 528,3
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Totaal volume
- € 522,5
- 24u volume
- € 522,5
- Will Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
- MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 83% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD? afgewikkeld?
- Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD? wordt naar verwachting op 1 juni 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I’m currently a PhD student in philosophy at Harvard, in my second-to-third-last year.