Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 86.6%
Voorspellers
82
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd26 dec 23, 22:37 UTC1 jan 32, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will I find AI hurts my job opportunities as an accountant before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Metr find AI reduces developer productivity in their second study?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will a RCT find that AI improves the productivity of experienced open-source developers?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
I work as a software engineer.
- A lot of my specialization is in being able to write good code, but AI has been getting better and better at that lately.
- I hope I maybe have a backup as working on AI because logically speaking it seems like AI research would be the "last job to get automated", but I also know a lot of non-AI coding, e.g. backend development, frontend development, programming language theory, data science, etc., and these skills might get obsoleted by AI.
- I'm not really good at ops work so I'm not counting that.
- Resolution criterion: If I subjectively feel that my opportunities for coding jobs have become worse due to AI, for at least 6 months duration starting before 2032, this market resolves YES.
- Otherwise it resolves NO.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Totaal volume
- € 224,7K
- 24u volume
- € 160,5K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 344,9K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 87% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032? afgewikkeld?
- Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2032 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I work as a software engineer.