Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?
One-OffSociety & Culture3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 73.2%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd18 mei 26, 06:58 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur:
- Someone and I each provide a probability estimate regarding our intent to pursue a long-term maximally serious relationship
- Both estimates are given within a ~2 week window of each other
- The mean of the two estimates is ≥40%
- Estimates can be verbal or written but must be deliberate (not offhand).
- Only needs to occur once; reversions or breakups afterward don't change the resolution.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 73% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur: