Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?
One-OffSamenleving en cultuur2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 73.7%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd18 mei 26, 06:58 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurRegels
Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur:
- Someone and I each provide a probability estimate regarding our intent to pursue a long-term maximally serious relationship
- Both estimates are given within a ~2 week window of each other
- The mean of the two estimates is ≥40%
- Estimates can be verbal or written but must be deliberate (not offhand).
- Only needs to occur once; reversions or breakups afterward don't change the resolution.
