Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes (98.5%)
Afgewikkeld: 15 aug 2026, 11:28
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 98.5%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 dagen geleden
Verouderd28 jul 24, 18:194 aug 26, 21:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes98.5%
No1.5%
98.5%
1.5%
Regels
I’m tubefed and bedridden, suffering from an undisclosed severe chronic illness (not terminal), although some people die, especially at risk of infections.
- M20 previously healthy.
- Disease is too rare to have prognosis statistics, but has a high rate of suicide also (since no treatment or cure).
- I obviously won’t bet here.
- 2 years time is 2026 August 1.
Open markten
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
- Yes+1.0pt87.1%
- No-1.0pt12.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 32,5K
- 24u volume
- € 15,4K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 15K
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 8,9K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 3000-1.0pt96%
- Above 4000-1.0pt81%
- Above 6000+5.0pt29%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 782,3K
POLYMARKETHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
- December 3172%
- October 3133%
- November 3033%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,5K
KALSHIWhen will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Before Aug 1, 202774%
- Before Apr 1, 202767%
- Before Jan 1, 202767%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,5K
- 24u volume
- € 3,7K
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- New pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Brepocitinib by Priovant Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I be alive in 2 years time??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 99% per 16 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I be alive in 2 years time? afgewikkeld?
- Will I be alive in 2 years time? wordt naar verwachting op 4 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I be alive in 2 years time? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I’m tubefed and bedridden, suffering from an undisclosed severe chronic illness (not terminal), although some people die, especially at risk of infections.