Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 59.2%
Voorspellers
76
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 39 minuten geleden
29 jun 23, 19:18 UTC1 okt 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Noam Chomsky publicly admit his theory of linguistics is mostly wrong before turning 100?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker ever admit that he shocked his dog? [ within 1 year ]
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Manifold MarketsWill Harvard tuition exceed $63,000 in 2026?
ForecastExWill Harvard tuition exceed $60,000 in 2026?
ForecastExWill Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
ForecastExRegels
If any Harvard College (undergraduate) class up to and including the class of 2032 (admitted in the fall of 2028) is less than 10.0% Black, this market resolves yes.
- Methodology: the Crimson publishes demographics of each admitted class that remains searchable.
- From the class of 2017 to 2026 this figure as ranged from 9.7% (2017) to 15.8% (2024).
- See e.g. https://features.thecrimson.com/2014/freshman-survey/makeup/
Open markten
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+4.5pt48%
- 65-8929.4%
- <40+2.0pt13.7%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 38,6K
- 24u volume
- € 9,7K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No86%
- Yes+12.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,6K
- 24u volume
- € 3,9K
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- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,3K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-4.5pt75.3%
- Yes+4.5pt24.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 14,4K
- 24u volume
- € 807,6
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
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- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
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- Is Earth flat?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
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- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 59% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If any Harvard College (undergraduate) class up to and including the class of 2032 (admitted in the fall of 2028) is less than 10.0% Black, this market resolves yes.