Will "The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffSociety & Culture1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 86.4%
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Verouderd14 jul 26, 04:52 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Will "AI companies should publish security assessments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegels
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie Gossiaux Wants to Fuck Their Dog is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 30,8K
- 24u volume
- € 18K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,7K
- 24u volume
- € 7,7K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4K
- 24u volume
- € 952,2
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 516,1
- 24u volume
- € 516,1
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Totaal volume
- € 516,1
- 24u volume
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 136,3K
- 24u volume
- € 419
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 86% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will "The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Will "The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will "The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.