Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 92.1%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd30 mrt 25, 10:39 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?
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KalshiRegels
Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/tempo/will-hans-niemann-be-a-top-10-chess?play=true)If the linked question resolves YES at any time before the end of market close, this market resolves YES.
- If the market closes and the conditions for the linked question are not fulfilled, resolves NO.
- Since this is a very objective market, I will bet on it.
- Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The December 2026 FIDE rating list will be the definitive source for resolution, even if it is published after the market closes (e.g., in January 2027).
- If it is clear Hans will not be in the top 10 by the end of 2026, the market may resolve NO immediately at its close time.
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):