Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 62.5%
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42
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 24, 17:39 UTC15 apr 28, 21:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?
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FutuurParis Accord goal of reducing global Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 43%: achieved by the end of 2030?
FutuurWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 37,500 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExRegels
Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.
- Here is the graph for the past few years form IEA.
- China alone grew around 565 Mt. China's growth was greater than the rest of the world's decrease but some think it may be close to peak.
- Will 2027 emissions be lower than 2026?
- This market will resolves based on IEA's numbers when released based on the actual change in CO2 emissions between the two years, no matter what extraordinary event (like COVID) may happen each year.
- I have created the same markets for 2024, 2025 and 2026 and, at the time of market creation, none has reached >50%.
Open markten
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 94,7K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 11,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 35,2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 356,2K
- 24u volume
- € 13,3K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11,9K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 63% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 15 april 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.