Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 78.5%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd15 jun 26, 17:51 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
OpenRouter AI token usage in September
KalshiHow much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if GitHub officially announces or implements a reversal of the usage-based token billing model (which utilizes GitHub AI Credits) introduced on June 1, 2026, and returns to a legacy model such as a request-based billing system (Premium Request Units) or a standard flat-rate billing system for active GitHub Copilot subscriptions.
- This market resolves to NO if no such structural reversion is announced or implemented by December 31, 2026 (or another date specified by the market creator).
- Source of Truth: Official statements on the GitHub Blog or updates within the GitHub Copilot Documentation.
- Clarification: Adjustments to the amount of included monthly AI Credits, lowering token costs, or creating new pricing tiers within the token consumption framework will not trigger a YES resolution.
- The change must be a structural departure from billing strictly by input, output, and cached token consumption.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Totaal volume
- € 224,7K
- 24u volume
- € 160,5K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 344,9K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 79% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? afgewikkeld?
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria