Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 54.4%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd27 mei 25, 19:34 UTC28 mei 40, 19:19 UTC
Trends
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KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).
- The reactor must be located in Germany and electricity must be fed into the grid (reactors only for research or isotope production don't count).
Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,6 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 45,5K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 997K
- 24u volume
- € 41,2K
- Fed Decision in October?
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- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 54% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? afgewikkeld?
- Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? wordt naar verwachting op 28 mei 2040 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).