Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiekSociety & Culture2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 96.8%
Voorspellers
67
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd5 dec 24, 16:35 UTC23 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
KalshiWill birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsCanada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.
Manifold MarketsWill Iran legalize gay marriage?
PolymarketWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiRegels
Settles Yes if gay marriage is illegal on the federal level on the day prior to the last day Trump is president.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market resolves to Yes if there is a federal law explicitly prohibiting gay marriage, even if individual states have laws permitting it (similar to the current federal/state dynamic with marijuana).
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency. afgewikkeld?
- Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency. wordt naar verwachting op 23 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency. afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Settles Yes if gay marriage is illegal on the federal level on the day prior to the last day Trump is president.