Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiekVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 95.2%
Voorspellers
60
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd7 nov 24, 23:10 UTC2 feb 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsCanada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.
Manifold MarketsSCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?
PolymarketWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiRegels
Background: The 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution has historically been interpreted to grant citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil, regardless of their parents' citizenship status (with exceptions for children of foreign diplomats).
- However, there have been political calls to end or modify birthright citizenship.
- This question will resolve based on whether the Trump administration enacts policies or laws that result in at least one individual born in the U.S., who would traditionally have been recognized as a citizen under the 14th Amendment, being denied citizenship or having their citizenship rescinded.
- Question: Will at least one person born on U.S. soil during Donald Trump’s second term be denied U.S. citizenship (or have their citizenship rescinded) due to a change in the interpretation or application of the 14th Amendment by the U.S. government?
- Resolution Criteria:
- Yes: This question will resolve as "Yes" if:
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 714,8K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 295,4K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term? afgewikkeld?
- Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term? wordt naar verwachting op 2 februari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Background: The 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution has historically been interpreted to grant citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil, regardless of their parents' citizenship status (with exceptions for children of foreign diplomats).