Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJune 30 2026 100%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd14 feb 26, 22:50 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Gavin Newsom is the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, who will be the Vice Presidential nominee?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWho will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if Gavin Newsom has the highest % for that date on Polymarket.
- On that date at 3am EST I will check Polymarkets 2028 dem nominee market.https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
- I will use the % displayed.
- If equal with another person, I’ll use the exact yes or no bid prices to decide.
- If still equal, I’ll resolve 50/50.
- If I suspect that is incorrect or something has been manipulated I’ll use the yes and no prices or Kalshi.
